AGI predictions by person

What did Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Dario Amodei and other public figures say about artificial general intelligence? Compare their recorded predictions and arrival claims, with the date of each statement and a link to its source.

These 35 timelines each collect at least two statements. For people with a single recorded statement, search the full archive. Inclusion records what someone said; it does not endorse their forecast.

Elon Musk

12 statements · 2020–2026

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Sam Altman

12 statements · 2015–2026

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Dario Amodei

7 statements · 2023–2026

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Jensen Huang

4 statements · 2023–2026

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Alan Turing

3 statements · 1950–1952

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Sergey Brin

2 statements · 2025–2025

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Demis Hassabis

9 statements · 2015–2026

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Geoffrey Hinton

4 statements · 2023–2025

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Ilya Sutskever

2 statements · 2018–2025

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Marc Andreessen

2 statements · 2026–2026

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Greg Brockman

2 statements · 2016–2026

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Masayoshi Son

4 statements · 2023–2025

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John Carmack

3 statements · 2022–2023

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Marvin Minsky

2 statements · 1961–1967

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Ray Kurzweil

20 statements · 1990–2024

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Yoshua Bengio

3 statements · 2023–2025

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Nick Bostrom

2 statements · 1998–2017

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Richard Sutton

2 statements · 2011–2023

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Herbert Simon

2 statements · 1957–1960

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Shane Legg

8 statements · 2009–2026

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Gary Marcus

2 statements · 2017–2023

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Vernor Vinge

4 statements · 1983–2011

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Jürgen Schmidhuber

2 statements · 2011–2016

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Ben Goertzel

8 statements · 2006–2024

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Daniel Kokotajlo

3 statements · 2025–2025

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Hans Moravec

5 statements · 1977–2000

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I. J. Good

4 statements · 1959–1970

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Eli Lifland

3 statements · 2023–2026

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Nathan Young

3 statements · 2022–2024

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Andrew Ng

2 statements · 2024–2025

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Fleek Futurist

2 statements · 2024–2025

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François Chollet

2 statements · 2026–2026

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Janus

2 statements · 2025–2026

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roon

2 statements · 2022–2024

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vals

2 statements · 2025–2026

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