AGI predictions by person
What did Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Dario Amodei and other public figures say about artificial general intelligence? Compare their recorded predictions and arrival claims, with the date of each statement and a link to its source.
These 35 timelines each collect at least two statements. For people with a single recorded statement, search the full archive. Inclusion records what someone said; it does not endorse their forecast.
Elon Musk
12 statements · 2020–2026
View predictions and sources →Sam Altman
12 statements · 2015–2026
View predictions and sources →Dario Amodei
7 statements · 2023–2026
View predictions and sources →Jensen Huang
4 statements · 2023–2026
View predictions and sources →Alan Turing
3 statements · 1950–1952
View predictions and sources →Sergey Brin
2 statements · 2025–2025
View predictions and sources →Demis Hassabis
9 statements · 2015–2026
View predictions and sources →Geoffrey Hinton
4 statements · 2023–2025
View predictions and sources →Ilya Sutskever
2 statements · 2018–2025
View predictions and sources →Marc Andreessen
2 statements · 2026–2026
View predictions and sources →Greg Brockman
2 statements · 2016–2026
View predictions and sources →Masayoshi Son
4 statements · 2023–2025
View predictions and sources →John Carmack
3 statements · 2022–2023
View predictions and sources →Marvin Minsky
2 statements · 1961–1967
View predictions and sources →Ray Kurzweil
20 statements · 1990–2024
View predictions and sources →Yoshua Bengio
3 statements · 2023–2025
View predictions and sources →Nick Bostrom
2 statements · 1998–2017
View predictions and sources →Richard Sutton
2 statements · 2011–2023
View predictions and sources →Herbert Simon
2 statements · 1957–1960
View predictions and sources →Shane Legg
8 statements · 2009–2026
View predictions and sources →Gary Marcus
2 statements · 2017–2023
View predictions and sources →Vernor Vinge
4 statements · 1983–2011
View predictions and sources →Jürgen Schmidhuber
2 statements · 2011–2016
View predictions and sources →Ben Goertzel
8 statements · 2006–2024
View predictions and sources →Daniel Kokotajlo
3 statements · 2025–2025
View predictions and sources →Hans Moravec
5 statements · 1977–2000
View predictions and sources →I. J. Good
4 statements · 1959–1970
View predictions and sources →Eli Lifland
3 statements · 2023–2026
View predictions and sources →Nathan Young
3 statements · 2022–2024
View predictions and sources →Andrew Ng
2 statements · 2024–2025
View predictions and sources →Fleek Futurist
2 statements · 2024–2025
View predictions and sources →François Chollet
2 statements · 2026–2026
View predictions and sources →Janus
2 statements · 2025–2026
View predictions and sources →roon
2 statements · 2022–2024
View predictions and sources →vals
2 statements · 2025–2026
View predictions and sources →