Predictions on the record
Explore Demis Hassabis's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 9 sourced statements from Jun 22, 2015 to Jan 20, 2026. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
Prediction · AGI
No arrival date specified
“We're decades away from anything that's nearing human-level general intelligence.”
He separated useful applications expected within five to ten years from human-level general intelligence, which might require numerous further breakthroughs.
Prediction · AGI
Expected by 2033
Very capable, very general AI could arrive within a few years, perhaps a decade.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
At the WSJ Future of Everything Festival, Hassabis expected AI progress to continue and potentially accelerate. His forecast spanned a few years to a decade.
Prediction · AGI
Expected around 2030
DeepMind remains on track for the twenty-year AGI plan it began in 2010.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
The profile tied his progress assessment to a roughly 2030 horizon. He still expected further breakthroughs before genuinely general intelligence.
Prediction · AGI
Expected 2030–2035
Human-level AI could be here in five to ten years.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
The estimate concerned broadly human-level capabilities, not a claim that an existing chatbot was already AGI.
Prediction · AGI
Expected 2030–2035
AGI remains roughly five to ten years away.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
He linked AGI to genuinely general capabilities, including scientific creativity, rather than simply performing existing workplace tasks.
Prediction · AGI
50% chance · Expected 2030–2035
There is roughly a fifty percent chance of AGI in five to ten years.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
This was a probabilistic estimate at WIRED's Big Interview event, not a guaranteed arrival date.
Prediction · AGI
50% chance · Expected by 2030
There is a fifty percent chance of AGI by 2030.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
His threshold included inventing new scientific explanations and other broadly general abilities. He expected additional breakthroughs to be necessary.
Prediction · AGI
Expected by 2035
AGI could arrive within the next decade.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Speaking in Athens, he connected the forecast to scientific progress and the need to prepare people for changes in work.
Prediction · AGI
50% chance · Expected by 2030
There is a fifty percent chance of AGI by 2030.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
At Bloomberg House in Davos, he emphasized a demanding definition, including scientific creativity and continued learning.