Predictions on the record
Explore François Chollet's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 2 sourced statements from Feb 12, 2026 to Sep 3, 2026. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
Prediction · AGI
Expected around 2030
“AGI ~2030.”
Chollet describes planned successive ARC benchmarks and says testing should continue until people can no longer propose tasks humans can do that AI cannot. The date is approximate, not a promise of a specific deadline.
Prediction · AGI
No arrival date specified
“Sooner, given progress is happening faster than I expected.”
Responding to a direct question about his earlier “AGI ~2030” forecast, Chollet says the timeline is sooner after Astra’s results. The question and answer were both verified through official X embeds. He supplies no replacement year, so the archive does not invent a narrower window. This is a forecast revision, not a claim that Astra is AGI.