Predictions on the record
Explore Greg Brockman's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 2 sourced statements from Nov 30, 2016 to Sep 3, 2026. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
Prediction · AGI
Expected 2026–2116
General AI could arrive in 10–100 years, with 90% confidence.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
A broad uncertainty interval, not an imminent-arrival claim. Brockman said the technology could not be built with existing capabilities.
Arrival claim · AGI
Claimed AGI had arrived
“For me personally, I do think we're there.”
His personal assessment of Astra; he invited others to decide whether it met their definition.