Predictions on the record
Explore vals's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 2 sourced statements from Mar 2, 2025 to Feb 21, 2026. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
Prediction · AGI
Expected by 2035
“I'm pretty sure we'll have cheaper than human AGI before 1 decade passes”
The @ValsTutor account expects AGI that is cheaper than human labor within a decade of March 2025 and substantial societal change. The cost qualification is part of the prediction.
Prediction · AGI
Expected around 2029
“Whether technique novelty is needed for AGI is unknown, but I'd guess ~no, thus human level AGI in 3 years likely”
The @ValsTutor account calls human-level AGI in three years likely, based on a tentative belief that fundamentally novel techniques are unnecessary. The uncertainty about that premise remains part of the forecast.