Predictions on the record
Explore Janus's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 2 sourced statements from Aug 14, 2025 to Feb 10, 2026. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
With a caveat · AGI
Arrival claim with a caveat
“gpt-4o is AGI, its just not the smartest one”
The @repligate account calls GPT-4o AGI while qualifying its relative intelligence. This is a model-specific claim distinct from the account’s later retrospective claim about OpenAI in 2020.
Arrival claim · AGI
Claimed AGI had arrived
“OpenAI built AGI first. In like 2020.”
The pseudonymous researcher retrospectively places OpenAI’s achievement of AGI around 2020 and distinguishes it from a future system capable of runaway self-improvement. The event is dated to this February 2026 public statement, not backdated to 2020. The visible source does not name a model.