Predictions on the record
Explore Andrew Ng's AGI and superintelligence timeline: 2 sourced statements from Jan 17, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025. Compare what was said, when it was said, and any predicted arrival date.
This is a curated record, not a complete history or a scorecard. AGI and ASI labels group related language; the original wording and caveats remain below. How we document claims.
Prediction · AGI
No arrival date specified
AGI capable of any human intellectual task remained at least decades away.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
He warned that lowering AGI's definition could produce premature declarations that misled the public.
Prediction · AGI
No arrival date specified
AI able to do any human intellectual task was still decades away or longer, despite rapid practical progress.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Responding to a student's fear that AGI would eliminate meaningful future work, he distinguished today's general-purpose AI from universal intellectual competence.