View on the timeline

Prediction · AGI

Shane Legg on AGI

Said

Human-level AGI still centered on 2028; an impressive proto-AGI might arrive within eight years.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Expected around 2028

The proposed intermediate system would learn basic perception, movement and language, and tackle unfamiliar simple problems. He distinguished it from full human-level AGI and retained major-disaster caveats.

Source notes

Primary year-end blog dated December 31, 2011; text retrieved through the search index.