Prediction · AGI
Shane Legg on AGI
Said
“I think there's a 50% chance that we have AGI by 2028.”
50% chance · Expected by 2028
He reaffirmed a long-held forecast and stressed that missing the date would be unsurprising. His definition covered the cognitive tasks humans typically perform.
Source notes
Original transcript, 34:38–37:13; published October 26, 2023.