Prediction · AGI
Shane Legg on AGI
Said
Kept his human-level AGI forecast at a 2028 mean and 2025 mode.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected 2018–2045
The annual update corrected the earlier stated 90% interval to approximately 2018–2045. It remained a probabilistic estimate with considerable uncertainty.
Source notes
Primary author blog dated December 10, 2010; text retrieved through the search index.