Prediction · AGI
Shane Legg on AGI
Said
Human-level AGI was most likely around 2025, with an expected date of 2028.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected around 2028
Legg specified a probability distribution rather than a deadline. He distinguished the mode, or most likely year, from the later mean of his skewed distribution.
Source notes
Primary author blog, dated December 7, 2009; text retrieved from the search index because the legacy site does not always open reliably.