Prediction · AGI
Vernor Vinge on AGI
Said
“I think we're ‘on track’.”
Asked whether his earlier 2005–2030 window remained plausible, he reaffirmed it. His singularity concept included several routes to superhuman intelligence, including AI and human enhancement.
Source notes
Primary interview explicitly dated October 12, 2009. This entry records the 2009 reaffirmation, not the original 1993 prediction.