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Prediction · ASI

Vernor Vinge on ASI

Said

Superhuman intelligences should be created between twenty and one hundred years from now.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Expected 2003–2083

Vinge discussed computer science and biological science, leaving the substrate open. The forecast concerned a transition beyond human intelligence, including possible human-computer augmentation.

Original terminology
superhuman intelligences
Source notes

Transcript of Vinge's original Omni essay; the article itself identifies his academic role.