Prediction · ASI
Eli Lifland on ASI
Said
“I personally have an ASI median of ~2035”
50% chance · Expected around 2035
Lifland gives an approximate median arrival year for ASI. The separate extinction probability and conditional timing in the same post are different forecasts. The public embed truncates the end of the post, but the ASI median is fully visible.
Source notes
Discovered through public archives and checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID and visible wording verified; UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s view, not the archive’s assessment of AGI.