Prediction · AGI
Eli Lifland on AGI
Said
“Would never have guessed Gary Marcus was at 35% for AGI within 13 years, that's pretty close to my own views”
Expected by 2036
Lifland says a reported 35% probability of AGI within thirteen years is close to his own view. The record captures Lifland’s endorsement, not an independently verified Gary Marcus forecast. His own probability is approximate rather than exactly 35%.
Source notes
Discovered in Community Archive’s current public export and independently checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID, visible excerpt and UTC publication date are verified. The statement records the speaker’s view, not this archive’s assessment of AGI.