Prediction · AGI + ASI
Daniel Kokotajlo on AGI + ASI
Said
2027 is a plausible scenario for AGI followed by rapid superintelligence.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected around 2027
AI 2027 was a collaboratively authored scenario, not a promise or a 50% deadline. The authors distinguished a leading scenario from median timelines, which could be later.
Source notes
Scenario published April 3; authored with Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland and Romeo Dean.