Prediction · AGI
Nathan Young on AGI
Said
“I predict AGI in the next 10 years (65%)”
65% chance · Expected by 2034
Young gives a 65% probability of AGI within ten years of November 2024. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a claim that arrival is guaranteed.
Source notes
Discovered in Community Archive’s current public export and independently checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID, visible excerpt and UTC publication date are verified. The statement records the speaker’s view, not this archive’s assessment of AGI.