Prediction · AGI
Nathan Young on AGI
Said
“I think there is a 10% chance we have human level AGI in 5 years.”
10% chance · Expected by 2028
Young gives a 10% chance of human-level AGI within five years of April 2023. This low-probability near-term forecast is distinct from his longer-horizon forecasts.
Source notes
Discovered through public archives and checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID and visible wording verified; UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s view, not the archive’s assessment of AGI.