Prediction · AGI
Alan Turing on AGI
Said
An unrestricted imitation-game contest would be at least a century away.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Not before 2052 · no upper bound
Responding to Max Newman's question about a machine having a chance with unrestricted questions, Turing gave a lower bound, not a deadline. This differs from his limited five-minute test prediction in 1950.
- Original terminology
- imitation game
Source notes
Copeland and Proudfoot reproduce the exchange; broadcast dates January 14 and 23, 1952 are documented in Shieber's The Turing Test.