Prediction · AGI
Alan Turing on AGI
Said
If machines capable of thinking were built, they would probably surpass human intellectual powers soon afterward.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
A conditional forecast of rapid improvement after machine thinking begins. It provides no calendar date for the first thinking machine; the surviving text is dated approximately 1951.
- Original terminology
- machine thinking
Source notes
Primary typescript text reprinted in The Essential Turing, pp. 472–475; final paragraph.