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Prediction · AGI

Alan Turing on AGI

Said

If machines capable of thinking were built, they would probably surpass human intellectual powers soon afterward.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

A conditional forecast of rapid improvement after machine thinking begins. It provides no calendar date for the first thinking machine; the surviving text is dated approximately 1951.

Original terminology
machine thinking
Source notes

Primary typescript text reprinted in The Essential Turing, pp. 472–475; final paragraph.