Prediction · AGI

Alan Turing on AGI

Deputy director, Computing Machine Laboratory, University of Manchester

Said October 1950

Around 2000, computers could make an average interrogator misidentify them at least 30% of the time in a five-minute imitation game.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Expected around 2000

This was a specific conversational-test prediction with a storage assumption, not a claim that computers would perform every human task. The paper separately expressed hope for competition across intellectual fields.

Original terminology

imitation game