Prediction · AGI

I. J. Good on AGI

Senior research fellow, Trinity College, Oxford / Atlas Computer Laboratory

Said 1965

It was more likely than not that an ultraintelligent machine would be built within the twentieth century.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Expected by 2000

Good defined the target as exceeding any human across intellectual activities, including the design of better machines. His proposed intelligence explosion followed that first machine; it was not a claim that contemporary systems had reached this level.

Original terminology

ultraintelligent machine