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Prediction · AGI

vals on AGI

Said

“Whether technique novelty is needed for AGI is unknown, but I'd guess ~no, thus human level AGI in 3 years likely”

Expected around 2029

The @ValsTutor account calls human-level AGI in three years likely, based on a tentative belief that fundamentally novel techniques are unnecessary. The uncertainty about that premise remains part of the forecast.

Source notes

Discovered through public archives and checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID and visible wording verified; UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s view, not the archive’s assessment of AGI.