Prediction · AGI
Demis Hassabis on AGI
Said
There is a fifty percent chance of AGI by 2030.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
50% chance · Expected by 2030
His threshold included inventing new scientific explanations and other broadly general abilities. He expected additional breakthroughs to be necessary.
Source notes
Primary transcript, timeline discussion at 00:52:33.