Prediction · AGI
Herbert Simon on AGI
Said
Within twenty years, machines would be technically capable of any work a person could do.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected by 1980
Simon distinguished technological capability from economic adoption. He expected people to retain comparative advantages in flexible manual work, some problem solving and interpersonal services.
- Original terminology
- machines capable of any human work
Source notes
Primary book p. 38; lecture date April 7, 1960 independently verified from scans by Quote Investigator. Often misdated to its 1965 republication.