View on the timeline

Prediction · AGI

Jürgen Schmidhuber on AGI

Said

“High for the next few decades”

He was answering how likely a human-level or subhuman AI was to improve itself rapidly into vastly greater intelligence. He linked theoretical work, including Gödel machines; this was not a claim that such a working system already existed.

Model / system named
Gödel machine
Source notes

Primary email interview published June 15, 2011. The excerpt answers a conditional self-improvement question rather than a precise AGI deadline.