Prediction · ASI

Nick Bostrom on ASI

Doctoral researcher in philosophy, London School of Economics

Said 1998

There was a case for superhuman artificial intelligence within the first third of the twenty-first century.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Expected by 2033

Bostrom assembled conditional arguments about hardware and brain-inspired software. In a 2008 postscript he clarified that this was a case for the possibility, not an all-things-considered prediction above 50% probability.

Original terminology

superhuman artificial intelligence