Prediction · ASI
Yoshua Bengio on ASI
Said
“My current estimate places a 95% confidence interval for the time horizon of superhuman intelligence at 5 to 20 years.”
Expected 2028–2043
Bengio explicitly reduced his earlier 20–100-year horizon after these systems' progress. He still identified missing capabilities and uncertainty.
- Model / system named
- ChatGPT, GPT-4
Source notes
Original essay dated June 24; answers A1 and A3a.