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Prediction · AGI

David Waltz on AGI

Said

Human-level intelligence would require advances extending well beyond the hardware he expected around 2017.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

Beyond 2017 · no upper bound

Waltz projected affordable brain-scale hardware around 2017 but warned that software, knowledge and learning could take much longer. Training alone might take twenty years, and multiple such experiments could be necessary; 2037 was not a firm forecast.

Original terminology
human-level intelligent machines
Source notes

Author-hosted primary article, Winter 1988, pp. 191–212; hardware/software distinction on pp. 207–208.