Prediction · AGI
David Waltz on AGI
Said
Human-level intelligence would require advances extending well beyond the hardware he expected around 2017.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Beyond 2017 · no upper bound
Waltz projected affordable brain-scale hardware around 2017 but warned that software, knowledge and learning could take much longer. Training alone might take twenty years, and multiple such experiments could be necessary; 2037 was not a firm forecast.
- Original terminology
- human-level intelligent machines
Source notes
Author-hosted primary article, Winter 1988, pp. 191–212; hardware/software distinction on pp. 207–208.