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Prediction · AGI

Tomas Pueyo on AGI

Said

“We're 1-6 years away from AGI”

Expected 2026–2031

Pueyo offers his own synthesis of prediction markets, insider statements, benchmarks and recent model progress. The one-to-six-year range is relative to January 2025. It is not an official forecast by a model developer.

Model / system named
OpenAI o3, DeepSeek
Source notes

Author, original post ID and visible wording checked against X’s official public oEmbed. UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s forecast, not an assessment that AGI or ASI exists.