Prediction · AGI
Oliver Habryka on AGI
Said
“It was talking about predicting AGI within 10-15 years (which is also roughly my prediction).”
Expected by 2039
Habryka endorses a rough ten-to-fifteen-year AGI horizon in December 2024, while allowing for progress to slow if the compute overhang is exhausted. “Within” supplies an upper horizon; it does not rule out earlier arrival.
Source notes
Discovered through public archives and checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID and visible wording verified; UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s view, not the archive’s assessment of AGI.