Prediction · AGI
David R. MacIver on AGI
Said
MacIver would be extremely surprised if AGI had not arrived within fifty years, and expects some connection to the current generation of chatbots.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected by 2074
MacIver expects AGI within fifty years of March 2024, potentially descended from current chatbots even if only through their training data. He does not give a probability or a nearer central estimate.
Source notes
Discovered through public archives and checked against X’s official public oEmbed. Author, post ID and visible wording verified; UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s view, not the archive’s assessment of AGI.