Prediction · AGI
Joshua Achiam on AGI
Said
“My AGI timelines are short-ish (within two decades with things getting weird soon)”
Expected by 2042
Achiam forecasts AGI within two decades of November 2022 while rejecting highly confident near-term extinction estimates. This is his own timeline, not the separate doom probabilities he criticizes.
Source notes
Author, original post ID and visible wording checked against X’s official public oEmbed. UTC publication date decoded from the post ID. This records the speaker’s forecast, not an assessment that AGI or ASI exists.