Prediction · AGI
Ray Solomonoff on AGI
Said
Human-level problem solving in several technical fields could follow a general AI theory by five to ten years plus a few more.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Solomonoff assigned one to fifty years to a general theory, with two to twenty-five more likely, then additional stages for self-improvement and language. His human-level milestone covered mathematics, science and industrial applications, not every human capability.
- Original terminology
- general problem solving capacity near that of a human
Source notes
Author-hosted primary paper, Human Systems Management 5, 149–153; milestones B–E. The posted reprint displays a later affiliation.