Prediction · AGI
Toby Ord on AGI
Said
His median date for transformative AI was 2038, but his uncertainty extended from a few years to more than a century.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
His threshold included doubling scientific progress and potentially taking over the world. Recorded July 2, 2026; he advocated preparing for both short and long timelines.
Source notes
Transcript and attributed highlights: timelines discussion, 01:09:28 and 01:45:00.