Prediction · AGI
Hans Moravec on AGI
Said
Robots would reach human-level capabilities by the middle of the next century, in software as well as processing power.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected around 2050
Moravec described four generations of robots, with early commercial success funding increasingly sophisticated world models and reasoning. The interview also describes fourth-generation machines roughly forty or fifty years away.
- Original terminology
- human level
Source notes
Primary interview transcript explicitly dates the conversation October 1997; page footer dates must not replace this.