Prediction · AGI
Ray Kurzweil on AGI
Said
Bet that a machine would pass the agreed Turing test by the end of 2029.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected by 2029
His wager with Mitch Kapor specified lengthy text interviews and judging criteria. Passing this particular test was the proposed proxy for human-level intelligence.
Source notes
Primary rules document explicitly says Published April 2002; the archive's July 2020 heading is a republication date.