Prediction · AGI
Ray Kurzweil on AGI
Said
Established, broadly accepted success on a full Turing test would arrive sometime between 2020 and 2070.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected 2020–2070
Kurzweil distinguished narrow successes and disputed demonstrations from broadly accepted unrestricted intelligent conversation. He explicitly cautioned that his estimate might be inaccurate.
- Original terminology
- full Turing test
Source notes
Primary book text and final timeline both specify 2020–2070; later retellings sometimes compress this interval.