Prediction · ASI

Geoffrey Irving on ASI

Cofounder and chief scientist, Resolution

Said August 11, 2026

His modal expectation was full superintelligence within two to three years, while acknowledging it might take 10–20.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

He identified generalization from verifiable tasks to judgment and long-term planning as a key uncertainty. Recorded June 29, 2026; date is public release.