Prediction · ASI

Ajeya Cotra on ASI

Senior advisor, Open Philanthropy (now Coefficient Giving)

Said February 17, 2026

After AI automates AI research, the remaining window before uncontrollably powerful superintelligence could be around a year or less.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

This is a conditional interval, not a prediction of an absolute arrival year. Recorded October 20, 2025, before her move to METR; date is public release.