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Prediction · ASI

Beth Barnes on ASI

Said

Autonomous AI self-improvement could be possible within two years; even substantially shorter timelines were hard to exclude.

Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.

She discussed the risk of an intelligence explosion from automated AI research. This was a possibility claim, with a small probability assigned to much shorter timelines.

Source notes

Publisher introduction quotes her forecast; transcript section 01:07:55.