Prediction · AGI
Dario Amodei on AGI
Said
Extrapolating current progress suggests powerful AI in 2026 or 2027, possibly with some delay.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected 2026–2027
Amodei stressed that this was an uncertain extrapolation, not a scientific guarantee. Data, computing capacity and geopolitical disruption could derail it.
Source notes
Primary transcript, AGI timeline discussion at 2:18:36–2:20:39.