Prediction · AGI
Dario Amodei on AGI
Said
A model resembling a generally educated human in conversation could be two or three years away.
Source summary · not a verbatim quotation.
Expected 2025–2026
He separated this conversational threshold from replacing researchers, transforming the economy or becoming existentially dangerous. Safety restrictions could slow the forecast.
Source notes
Original transcript, 27:56–29:32; published August 8, 2023.